Andrew Ducker (andrewducker) wrote,
Andrew Ducker

Covid in Scotland - the bad news and the good

The bad news:
992 cases today in Scotland. 7-day average of 654 cases, which has doubled in the last 15 days.
Daily hospital admissions have also doubled - from 8 to 16. This took 10 days.

Both of these numbers are still low compared to the peaks we've had in October and January, but doubling that fast is worrying, to put it mildly.

The good news:
The vast majority of those cases are in the under 65s - 97.6% are under that age. 45-64 year olds are also not being that heavily hit, compared to people in their 20s. And we know that the danger is largely age-related.

So we might still be able to solely vaccinate our way out of this - but we might be in for another tightening of restrictions, to slow things until we can work our way through things. The data here to look for is the hospitalisation rate - because that will tell us whether we're going to overwhelm NHS capacity or not. As you can see from the second graph, those admissions are currently a tiny blip compared to how they were a few months ago. It's just that doubling speed that's worrying.

Original post on Dreamwidth - there are comment count unavailable comments there.

  • Interesting Links for 16-09-2021

    On doing your own vaccine research (tags: vaccine research comic ) Who talks more in your meetings - men or women? (tags: talking gender…

  • Interesting Links for 15-09-2021

    The NHS in Scotland: Your gran might be lying on the floor for 10 hours (tags: scotland nhs pandemic doom ) Edinburgh Council are having a…

  • Interesting Links for 14-09-2021

    Hands-on with Facebook's first smart glasses (tags: transparentsociety glasses cameras facebook ) UK's Chief Medical Officers Give Green…

  • Post a new comment


    Anonymous comments are disabled in this journal

    default userpic

    Your reply will be screened