Andrew Ducker (andrewducker) wrote,
Andrew Ducker
andrewducker

I need to know about The Future

Which of these will happen first

Human-level artificial intelligence
25(47.2%)
A self-supportable colony on Mars
17(32.1%)
Neither of these will ever, ever happen
6(11.3%)
SEIWEIC
5(9.4%)

Human-level artificial intelligence

5 years
0(0.0%)
10 years
3(5.6%)
20 years
8(14.8%)
30 years
4(7.4%)
50 years
10(18.5%)
75 years
2(3.7%)
100 years
9(16.7%)
150 years
1(1.9%)
More than 150 years
11(20.4%)
Never
6(11.1%)

A self-supportable colony on Mars

5 years
0(0.0%)
10 years
0(0.0%)
20 years
3(5.6%)
30 years
3(5.6%)
50 years
9(16.7%)
75 years
3(5.6%)
100 years
10(18.5%)
150 years
6(11.1%)
More than 150 years
11(20.4%)
Never
9(16.7%)


"Self-supportable" meaning "If Earth was wiped out by a zombie plague then the colonists would not necessarily all die, but would have a chance of making life work, even if they missed the taste of chocolate from time to time".

"Human-level artificial intellingence" is not something I'm giving you a definition for, because you'd just argue about it. Let's assume you'd know it when you saw it. (Or not, if you were at the other end of a chat session!)

Context: AI and Mars.
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