Andrew Ducker (andrewducker) wrote,
Andrew Ducker
andrewducker

Lying with stats - alcohol and violence edition

Lots of headlines over the last few days about the fact that violence is down, and that alcohol is more expensive and ARE THESE THINGS CONNECTED?!?!?!?!

Which would be pretty exciting if true. So let's take a look at the stats:


Ok, violence definitely down, and as alcohol is less affordable that could be making a difference, right?



Oh.

So, alcohol is _massively_ more affordable than it was in the 80s, and more affordable than it was even in 2000, but because it's less than it was at the peak, journalists are happy to blame the violence on alcohol? (And yes, the alcohol curve starts in the 80s, while violence is only showing the last decade, but even peering closely at the alcohol affordability for the last decade I can't see anything which looks anything like correlation. Particularly as the alcohol affordability peaked in 2008 and violence...didn't.)

This isn't to say that there is _no_ link, but the sheer eagerness of the newspapers to leap onto this is incredibly annoying.

Both graphs from this Full Fact article on Violence and Alcohol.



Original post on Dreamwidth - there are comment count unavailable comments there.
Subscribe

  • Interesting Links for 13-06-2021

    How to Mute Twitter's Suggested Tweets on Your Timeline (tags: twitter ) Can't See Pictures in Your Mind? You're Not Alone. And Now We Know…

  • Interesting Links for 12-06-2021

    Sperm DNA methylation epimutation biomarker for paternal offspring autism susceptibility (tags: autism epigenetics genetics ) The Connecticut…

  • Interesting Links for 11-06-2021

    Biden Allies Have Been Meeting With Northern Ireland Groups For Months About The Protocol (tags: NorthernIreland UK Europe USA ) Deliveroo…

  • Post a new comment

    Error

    Anonymous comments are disabled in this journal

    default userpic

    Your reply will be screened

  • 13 comments

  • Interesting Links for 13-06-2021

    How to Mute Twitter's Suggested Tweets on Your Timeline (tags: twitter ) Can't See Pictures in Your Mind? You're Not Alone. And Now We Know…

  • Interesting Links for 12-06-2021

    Sperm DNA methylation epimutation biomarker for paternal offspring autism susceptibility (tags: autism epigenetics genetics ) The Connecticut…

  • Interesting Links for 11-06-2021

    Biden Allies Have Been Meeting With Northern Ireland Groups For Months About The Protocol (tags: NorthernIreland UK Europe USA ) Deliveroo…