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I am having a very hard day.
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Original post on Dreamwidth - there are
November 5th, 2020
Original post on Dreamwidth - there are
Interesting Links for 05-11-2020
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- Why Latinx people vote for Trump
- https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1324083909404090374.html
(tags:SouthAmerica USA voting ) - 750M genetically modified mosquitoes to be released in Florida
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- The alignment chart of kitchen corner cabinets
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- New study finds psilocybin greatly and quickly relieves depression
- (tags:depression psilocybin hallucinogenics )
Original post on Dreamwidth - there are
I've been awful at not watching the American election
And with 6 states to go, and 5 of those being battleground states, it's all been quite stressful.
I had 5 minutes to myself, so of course I broke out a spreadsheet and worked out what percentages of the mail-in votes would need to go which way for the currently losing person to win it.
Which I find somewhat reassuring. The recent mail-in votes from Pennsylvania have been coming in at 90% Biden, because Philadelphia is traditionally very Democrat-oriented. North Carolina looks likely to go to Trump. Nevada probably Biden (most mail-in votes have been going to Democrats). Arizona, on the other hand, has a history of mail-in votes as standard, so Republicans there have been voting that way - and that looks like it might be quite close. As usual, let me know if I've got anything obviously wrong. And, of course, all of this is futile - results will dribble in today/tomorrow and nothing I can say or do will change anything!
Original post on Dreamwidth - there are
comments there.
I had 5 minutes to myself, so of course I broke out a spreadsheet and worked out what percentages of the mail-in votes would need to go which way for the currently losing person to win it.
| State | Percentage of remaining votes the underdog needs to take the lead |
|---|---|
| Arizona | Trump needs 57% |
| Georgia | Biden needs 55% |
| North Carolina | Biden needs 64% |
| Nevada | Trump needs 52% |
| Pennsylvania | Biden needs 59% |
Which I find somewhat reassuring. The recent mail-in votes from Pennsylvania have been coming in at 90% Biden, because Philadelphia is traditionally very Democrat-oriented. North Carolina looks likely to go to Trump. Nevada probably Biden (most mail-in votes have been going to Democrats). Arizona, on the other hand, has a history of mail-in votes as standard, so Republicans there have been voting that way - and that looks like it might be quite close. As usual, let me know if I've got anything obviously wrong. And, of course, all of this is futile - results will dribble in today/tomorrow and nothing I can say or do will change anything!
Original post on Dreamwidth - there are