November 13th, 2018


Brexit: Where are we now?

Trying to get it straight in my head where are right now.

Theresa May seems to be at the end of the negotiation agreement, and has (almost) put together a withdrawal agreement which is acceptable to the EU (complete with NI Backstop).

This withdrawal agreement is absolutely unacceptable to the Brexit chunk of the Conservative Party. Who have said they will vote against it. This includes a fair part of her cabinet.

It is also pretty unacceptable to the Remain chunk of the Conservative Party. Who have utterly failed to vote against the leadership so far, so can sadly probably be ignored.

Labour have also said that any deal which only ties us to a temporary customs union is unacceptable. And that they will vote against it. However, bits of their party are either staunch Leavers or are so terrified of No-Deal that they will vote in favour of this deal.

The DUP have said that they will vote against it.

The SNP have said that they will vote against it.

And this needs to happen pretty-much right now, if they're going to get it out to the EU27 to ratify it.

I suspect that it's going to be pretty close on whether they can pass it. I'm really hoping they can't, and that parliament is able to hold the government to account.

Of course, we'll then have to see what happens next. My gut says that in a situation where Theresa May says "Fine, it's No-Deal then" there are enough competent MPs to force her out, in one way or another.

My stockpiling will begin in January, if we haven't gotten ourselves into a more sensible situation by then.

Original post on Dreamwidth - there are comment count unavailable comments there.

Interesting Links for 13-11-2018

Every Brexit headline for the last six months
(tags: UK europe doom )
Art of SFF: Charles Vess on Working with Ursula Le Guin on The Books of Earthsea
(tags: art UrsulaKLegGuin fantasy )
Cost of wind and solar fall below cost of coal and gas
(tags: solarpower windpower renewables GoodNews gas coal usa )
Samsung’s foldable smartphone reportedly costs $1,770. I'll take two!
(tags: phones design samsung android )
Democrats Say Their First Bill Will Focus On Strengthening Democracy At Home
(tags: democracy usa democrats )
Israel-Gaza violence erupts after covert op killings
(tags: israel palestine )
'No completion date' for new Royal Hospital for Sick Children in Edinburgh
(tags: Edinburgh hospital fail construction )
Stan Lee Dead: Marvel Comics' Real-Life Superhero Was 95
(tags: obituary comics marvel )
Children with autism thrive in mainstream pre-schools
(tags: autism children )
Voters in most vulnerable Tory seats back fresh Brexit referendum
(tags: UK europe referendum Conservatives )
Nearly entire class throws Nazi salute for photo. FFS
(tags: OhForFucksSake nazis school usa )
Female prisoners in England left to give birth alone in their cells
(tags: prison women birth OhForFucksSake )
"Detective Pikachu” looks delightfully weird
(tags: movies games pokemon trailer )
London women tell UN poverty envoy about impact of welfare cuts
(tags: austerity UK OhForFucksSake )
Minister responsible for getting a Brexit deal is pushing for no deal.
(tags: UK europe doom )
Jony Ive's latest design is the ultimate diamond ring – made only of diamond.
(tags: diamonds apple charity design )
People are “consistently inconsistent” in how they reason about controversial scientific topics
(tags: logic thinking science rationality psychology )
Aardman Animation is Giving The Company to Their Employees
(tags: animation business employment ownership )

Original post on Dreamwidth - there are comment count unavailable comments there.