Andrew Ducker (andrewducker) wrote,
Andrew Ducker
andrewducker

Dodgy Electoral Analysis

Chatting about the electoral results, I was wondering how much skew was produced by the country being polled in regions, rather than as a whole.
Party Percentage Potential MEPs Actual MEPs Unearned MEPs
Conservative 27.7 19.1 25 5.9
UKIP 16.5 11.4 13 1.6
Labour 15.7 10.8 13 2.2
Liberal Democrat 13.7 9.4 11 1.6
Green 8.6 5.9 2 -3.9
BNP 6.2 4.3 2 -2.3
SNP 2.1 1.4 2 0.6
Plaid Cymru 0.8 0.6 1 0.4
English Democrat 1.8 1.2 0 -1.2
Christian 1.6 1.1 0 -1.1
Socialist Labour 1.1 0.8 0 -0.8


What's interesting is that Plaid Cymru (the Welsh nationalist party) only got their seat because Wales was polled as a seperate region, and it's clear that this system does allow small regional parties more clout, but minor national parties (the Greens, BNP, English Democrats, Christian People's Alliance and Socialist Labour) do worse out of it.

Not sure how I feel about that...

Edit to Add:
8.5% of people voted for a party that got no MEPs at all. That's a lot of disgruntles people, I'd imagine.
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