Andrew Ducker (andrewducker) wrote,
Andrew Ducker
andrewducker

Elections so far

Looks like the swing has been anti-Labour, which means to either the Conservatives or Liberals, depending on which one is a stronger contender to beat Labour in any particular council.

The evidence for this is that the Liberals have lost a fair number of councillors, but only one actual council - the ones where they are already in control are largely being held by them.  Presumably the councillors they are losing are in places where a swing to the Conservatives is more likely to unseat Labour control.

The BBC's estimated projected national vote share puts the Tories on 38%, Labour on 23% and the Lib Dems on 28%, which would be a result I'd be very happy with in a national election, as it would push a Lib/Lab coalition, grounded on a move to PR.
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